Thank God for CHML’s coverage of the 4th quarter because Cogeco was hacked again . Scrambled screens were a joke and an embarrassment to the CFL . Thanks to the local radio station for keeping us up to date with the big win
It’s time for another fun and crazy fact : If both Calgary and Edmonton both miss the playoffs this year it will be the first time in history that both Albertan teams have missed the playoffs in the same season . Rather hard to believe in such a small league but we could be seeing history here this season .
I believe our number to leapfrog Montreal is 5. That’s 5 total Ticat wins and Alouette losses.
There’s no scenario where we can finish 2nd without winning in Montreal. If we win our next 2 and they lose their next 2 we’re 1 game up heading into the finale. If we lose the finale we’re tied and they win the tie-breaker.
So, we need to win the final game, but before then we need 1 of 3 scenarios (ignoring the possibility of ties) to play out:
Ticats go 2-0, Als go 1-1
Ticats go 2-0, Als go 0-2
Ticats go 1-1, Als go 0-2
I don’t like our chances, but stranger things have happened.
Further to this… if Montreal wins and we lose next week it’s all over as far as playoff seeding in the East goes and our last two games are meaningless. I don’t love that scenario.
Alternatively, if we win in Regina and Montreal loses at home to Ottawa we are back in control of the two seed “just” needing to win out to finish second. Of course, even in that scenario, Montreal is also in control of their destiny and would also finish second if they won our. Strange but true.
The only game that really worries me is when the Lions are in town . I know we have beaten them once in their home park but that brings in the revenge factor plus the fact that they are in a neck and neck battle with the BB’s for 1rst place out West . That game is going to be tough for us but not unwinnable if we play mistake free football .
As for Saskatchewan and Montreal ? It won’t be easy but we can take both of these games if we put our mind to it and put the pedal to the metal for all 4 quarters in both games .
Looking ahead, we know we play in Regina, home to BC, in Montreal, against Montreal somewhere, and if we beat Montreal then in Toronto. Side note: It feels weird knowing the two teams in the East Semi and the host of the East Final with 100% certainly before September is over. Not, it’s pretty obvious what will happen, but absolute certainty. Strange.
Anyhow, of those five games, the only one I’m confident in the outcome is the last one. I know, never say never. Maybe Big Fig is healthy and Bo finds Darrell Walker to send us to the Grey Cup, but I wouldn’t even bet your money on the Ticats beating Toronto in 2023.