If the Playoffs Were to Start Today ....

And with the win in Edmonton, it looks like Calgary will be back on top next week. Lots of flipping and flopping. :thup:

And so it is …


                                             STANDINGS

                                            WEST   EAST
                               Calgary  7-3  +11   +13  7-3 Winnipeg
                               Edmonton 6-4   +2   +66  6-4 Montreal
                       British Columbia 4-6  +35   +3   5-5 Hamilton
                           Saskatchewan 3-7  -46   -57  2-7 Toronto

                                              MATCHUPS

                              WESTERN SEMI-FINAL   EASTERN SEMI-FINAL
                     British Columbia @ Edmonton   Hamilton @ Montreal
British Columbia defeats Edmonton by method iii)   Hamilton defeats Montreal by method i)

                                    WESTERN FINAL   EASTERN FINAL
                       British Columbia @ Calgary   Hamilton @ Winnipeg
    Calgary defeats British Columbia by method i)   Winnipeg defeats Hamilton by method i)

                                              GREY CUP
                                        Calgary vs Winnipeg
                                Calgary defeats Winnipeg by method i)

If the playoffs were to start today, Calgary would be back on top. Go horsie!

how come in your scenerios, its always the 2 first place in the cup. How often is that not the case?

If Hamilton hadn’t lost both games to Winnipeg, they’d have won the east in this formula. If BC had beaten Calgary in Week 2 they’d have won the west. It can happen.

See, BC is third, if the playoffs started today they would visit 2nd Edmonton. The season series is plit 1-1, so then it falls to aggregate - Edmonton won by 16, then BC won by 35, so BC wins by aggregate. Then BC would visit Calgary, and head to head Calgary has won the only meeting so far. If BC beats Calgary next week we could have a massive shakeup in the West. :thup:

In the East, Hamilton drops to third so if the playoffs started today they would visit Montreal. But Hamilton leads the season series 2-1 so the prediction says Hamilton. Then the Cats would have to visit Winnipeg but they’ve lost twice to the Bombers so the Bombers win. Until the Als play Hamilton again this scenario can’t really change.

And again, it’s totally meaningless. Just fun and to make you go hmmmm …

but if bc had danny mac and darren flutie then it would upset the whole applecart :slight_smile:

I wonder, can you apply this to the 94 final standings?

Yes, but I have to have all the regular season game results to determine the head to head matchups.

here ya go :slight_smile:

http://cfl.ca/schedule/year/1994/time_zone/0

All right then ...

1994 Standings

EAST
Winnipeg
Baltimore
Toronto
Ottawa

WEST
Calgary
Edmonton
BC
Sask

In 1994 4th played 1st and 3rd played 2nd so ...

SEMIS

Sask @ Calgary
BC @ Edmonton

Ottawa @ Winnipeg
Toronto @ Baltimore

Calgary by iii - they split with the Riders winning by a point in Week 1 but Calgary handing them a whooping later in the year
Edmonton by iii - they split close games, Esks with a 5 point edge in aggregate
Winnipeg by i - Bombers scored over 100 points in 2 whoopings over 4-14 Ottawa
Baltimore by iii - Argos won by 7, but Colts won by 8

FINALS

Edmonton @ Calgary
Baltimore @ Winnipeg

Calgary by iii - split, both teams whooped each other in September but Calgary laid a bit bigger whoopin in the first win
Baltimore by iii - split, 'Peg winning by a TD but Colts slapped 'em by 47

GREY CUP

Calgary vs Baltimore

Calgary by i - in the only meeting, Stamps won a laugher

So if the 1994 playoffs were to start today ... Calgary would beat Baltimore ... and so proving that real life doesn't care about predictions! :thup:

thank you for doing this. very interesting indeed. go lions :thup:

11 games down, 7 to go.


                                             STANDINGS

                                            WEST   EAST
                               Edmonton 7-4  +13   +15  8-3 Winnipeg
                               Calgary  7-4   -2   +64  6-5 Montreal
                       British Columbia 5-6  +48   -12  5-6 Hamilton
                           Saskatchewan 4-7  -36   -88  2-9 Toronto

                                             MATCHUPS

                              WESTERN SEMI-FINAL   EASTERN SEMI-FINAL
                      British Columbia @ Calgary   Hamilton @ Montreal
 British Columbia defeats Calgary by method iii)   Hamilton defeats Montreal by method i)

                                   WESTERN FINAL   EASTERN FINAL
                     British Columbia @ Edmonton   Hamilton @ Winnipeg
British Columbia defeats Edmonton by method iii)   Winnipeg defeats Hamilton by method i)

                                             GREY CUP
                                   British Columbia vs Winnipeg
                          Winnipeg defeats British Columbia by method i)

If the playoffs were to start today, Swaggerville Bombers would be the champs. :thup:

Bc reps the west from third this week. :thup:

I disagree, I think that B.C. could pull it out.

My prediction is not an opinion. It is a (silly and meaningless) mathematical formula. :stuck_out_tongue:

Some catching up ...


                                             STANDINGS

                                            WEST   EAST
                               Edmonton 7-5   +4   +14  8-4 Winnipeg
                               Calgary  7-5  -21   +71  7-5 Montreal
                       British Columbia 6-6  +85   +7   6-6 Hamilton
                           Saskatchewan 4-8  -73   -87  3-9 Toronto

                                             MATCHUPS

                              WESTERN SEMI-FINAL   EASTERN SEMI-FINAL
                      British Columbia @ Calgary   Hamilton @ Montreal
 British Columbia defeats Calgary by method iii)   Hamilton defeats Montreal by method i)

                                   WESTERN FINAL   EASTERN FINAL
                     British Columbia @ Edmonton   Hamilton @ Winnipeg
British Columbia defeats Edmonton by method iii)   Winnipeg defeats Hamilton by method i)

                                             GREY CUP
                                   British Columbia vs Winnipeg
                          Winnipeg defeats British Columbia by method i)

If the playoffs were to have started last week, no changes. Bombers on top.

And all caught up now ...


                                            STANDINGS

                                           WEST   EAST
                             Calgary   8-5  +16   +77  8-5  Montreal
                     British Columbia  7-6  +94   +8   8-5  Winnipeg
                             Edmonton  7-6   -5   +22  7-6  Hamilton
                         Saskatchewan  4-9 -110   -102 3-10 Toronto

                                            MATCHUPS

                             WESTERN SEMI-FINAL   EASTERN SEMI-FINAL
                    Edmonton @ British Columbia   Hamilton @ Winnipeg
 British Columbia defeats Edmonton by method i)   Winnipeg defeats Hamilton by method i)

                                  WESTERN FINAL   EASTERN FINAL
                     British Columbia @ Calgary   Winnipeg @ Montreal
British Columbia defeats Calgary by method iii)   Montreal defeats Winnipeg by method iii)

                                             GREY CUP
                                   British Columbia vs Montreal
                          Montreal defeats British Columbia by method i)

Significant changes. If the playoffs were to start today, Montreal would be the champs. :thup:

Funky tiebreaks this week.


                                           STANDINGS

                                          WEST   EAST
                    British Columbia  8-6  +88   +87  9-5  Montreal
                            Edmonton  8-6  +11   +24  9-5  Winnipeg
                            Calgary   8-6  +14   +6   7-7  Hamilton
                        Saskatchewan 4-10 -126   -104 3-11 Toronto

             British Columbia wins tiebreak over Edmonton and Calgary by method b)
                       Edmonton wins tiebreak over Calgary by method b)
                       Montreal wins tiebreak over Winnipeg by method c)

                                           MATCHUPS

                            WESTERN SEMI-FINAL   EASTERN SEMI-FINAL
                            Calgary @ Edmonton   Hamilton @ Winnipeg
         Edmonton defeats Calgary by method i)   Winnipeg defeats Hamilton by method i)

                                 WESTERN FINAL   EASTERN FINAL
                   Edmonton @ British Columbia   Winnipeg @ Montreal
British Columbia defeats Edmonton by method i)   Montreal defeats Winnipeg by method iii)

                                            GREY CUP
                                  British Columbia vs Montreal
                         Montreal defeats British Columbia by method i)

If the playoffs were to start today, Montreal would beat the Lions at BC Place. :thup:

I think the Lions will win the Grey Cup should be an exciting game at BC Place

The last four games will be interesting in deciding the playoffs in the East.

Bombers have Edmonton, Montreal, Toronto and Calgary left.
Als have Hamilton, Winnipeg, Calgary and BC.

Obviously the East will be decided by who wins in the Mtl vs Wpg game. The game is in Wpg, Pierce is back in the lineup and Garrett is doing well ... we've got a real good chance to finish on top. Calvillo doesn't play as well under pressure and Wpg and BC are at the top of the sacks list.

So I'm betting Wpg will win three of four and Mtl will only win two of the four.

Who would win today? Well, Winnipeg ... obviously :rockin:

Some catching up to do ...


                                           STANDINGS

                                          WEST   EAST
                    British Columbia  9-6 +107   +89  10-5  Montreal
                            Edmonton  9-6  +25   +10  9-6  Winnipeg
                            Calgary   8-7  +12   +4   7-8  Hamilton
                        Saskatchewan 4-11 -137   -110 4-11 Toronto

                   British Columbia wins tiebreak over Edmonton by method b)

                                           MATCHUPS

                            WESTERN SEMI-FINAL   EASTERN SEMI-FINAL
                            Calgary @ Edmonton   Hamilton @ Winnipeg
         Edmonton defeats Calgary by method i)   Winnipeg defeats Hamilton by method i)

                                 WESTERN FINAL   EASTERN FINAL
                   Edmonton @ British Columbia   Winnipeg @ Montreal
British Columbia defeats Edmonton by method i)   Montreal defeats Winnipeg by method iii)

                                            GREY CUP
                                  British Columbia vs Montreal
                         Montreal defeats British Columbia by method i)

So if the playoffs were to have started last week, the Als would beat the Lions for the Grey Cup.

I think it's pretty much settled now for the rest of the year as I'll explain below ...


                                           STANDINGS

                                          WEST   EAST
                            Edmonton 10-6  +32   +11  10-6  Winnipeg
                    British Columbia  9-7  +75   +88  10-6  Montreal
                            Calgary   9-7  +24   +36  8-8  Hamilton
                        Saskatchewan 4-12 -149   -117 4-12 Toronto

                       Winnipeg wins tiebreak over Montreal by method b)
                   British Columbia wins tiebreak over Calgary by method b)

                                           MATCHUPS

                            WESTERN SEMI-FINAL   EASTERN SEMI-FINAL
                    Calgary @ British Columbia   Hamilton @ Montreal
 British Columbia defeats Calgary by method i)   Montreal defeats Hamilton by method i)

                                 WESTERN FINAL   EASTERN FINAL
                   British Columbia @ Edmonton   Montreal @ Winnipeg
British Columbia defeats Edmonton by method i)   Winnipeg defeats Montreal by method i)

                                            GREY CUP
                                  British Columbia vs Winnipeg
                         Winnipeg defeats British Columbia by method i)

If the playoffs were to start today WINNIPEG would defeat BC for the Grey Cup Championship.

SWAG! SWAG! SWAG!

You see, now that the Bombers won that rubber match this week with Montreal by a point, they have clinched tiebreak over both Montreal and Hamilton, and since Toronto is eliminated, no matter what the final order of the top 3 shakes out to be, Winnipeg will beat all comers. So WINNIPEG has clinched the East as far as this lttle math formula goes.

As for the West, BC holds tiebreak against all other West teams, BUT they have not clinched against the Eskimos yet. This week will decide this. The esks need to win by 29 points to win the tiebreak outright. A 28 point win - well I haven't delved that far into the tiebreak yet (although it is in the opening post of this thread). Anything less and BC will beat all comers in the West regardless of the order of finish. Edmonton of course, also holds tiebreak over Calgary, so they can't win a matchup in this formula.

So that means, that barring a huge rout of BC this week by the Esks, Winnipeg will beat BC for the Grey Cup for the remainder of the season, since the Bombers swept the Lions head-to-head this year. If said rout does occur though, EDMONTON will beat Winnipeg, since they have a 2 point edge in aggregate against the blue and gold.