CFL Week 6 Previews
By CFL Handicapper Ron Raymond of Phoenixsports.com
Hamilton (52.5) vs. Montreal (-10)
Tiger cats @ Alouettes History: Hamilton is 13-8-1 ATS, 6-16 SU and the O/U/P is 9-13-0.
The Alouettes are coming off a 3-game losing streak and all 3 loses came from tough western division opponents. In fact, the Alouettes had a chance to win all of those 3 games, but found a way to lose them, instead of putting their opponents away! The good news for Montreal, they face a division opponent who’s finding their old habits and the Tiger Cats are 1-4 SU on the season. Casey Printers will be sitting this one out and Richie Williams will get the nod this Thursday night at Molson Percival Stadium. Hamilton is far from being road warriors with their 3-17 SU road record the last 2 years and they only manager 17.86 Points For per game. Montreal has lost a bit of that dominance at home compared to season past, as they are 12-9 SU L2Y at home and when they are a home favorite in this role, the UNDER is 12-5-0.
• Hamilton’s Next Game: Vs. Toronto
• Montreal’s Next Game: At Winnipeg
Ron’s forecast: Montreal 32 Hamilton 9
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When HAMILTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Before a division game -Total is between 51.5 to 54; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Tiger Cats in this role since ’96.
BC Lions (-2) vs. Edmonton (54)
Lions @ Eskimos History: BC is 8-11-0 ATS, 8-11 SU and the O/U/P is 8-11-0.
The Edmonton Eskimos have lost their top receiver of the season Jason Tucker to a neck injury and the week prior, lost Fred Perry to a broken fibula and dislocated ankle. Losing Tucker will be a huge lost to the Eskimos, Tucker was Ricky Ray’s favorite receiver when throwing the long ball and he will be missed. It’s tough to gage if the Edmonton Eskimos are for real at 3-2 SU, because three of their 5 games were played vs. Eastern division opponents and the EAST are 6-14 SU combined and not one Eastern team has a winning record. As for the Lions, they seem to have turned the corner and enjoying a 3-game winning streak. The Lions are coming off an impressive come from behind win last week over Montreal and are averaging 35 points per game in their last 3 outings. The BC Lions are 9-4 SU as a road favorite the last 2 years and the UNDER is 11-2-0 for the Lions in this role. Plus, when the BC Lions are on the road during Week 4 to 8, after a non division game, they are 12-3-0 ATS in this spot since 1996.
• BC Lions Next Game: Vs. Edmonton
• Edmonton’s Next Game: At BC Lions
Ron’s forecast: BC Lions 29 Edmonton 26
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When ANY CFL Team played as Road team as a Favorite -After a non conference game - After a non division game - Coming off a game scored 35 points or more - Coming off a 2 game Home stand; The Road Team (Lions) is 11-4 SU in this role since ’96.
Winnipeg (49) vs. Toronto (-3.5)
Blue Bombers @ Argonauts History: Winnipeg is 7-12-0 ATS, 4-14-1 SU and the O/U/P is 10-9-0.
All it took for the Bombers to get their first win of the year was a second string QB from Boise State and a little luck in the dying seconds of a football game in Week 5! Ryan Dinwiddie looked like a season veteran last week vs. Calgary as a +5.5 point home underdog. Now the Bombers get their second test of the week vs. the Toronto Argonauts at the Rogers Center. A place they haven’t done well since 1996, as they are only 4-14-1 SU in Toronto and they’ll be facing an Argos team looking to bounce back after a heart breaking lost in Saskatchewan last weekend. When the Winnipeg Blue Bombers are a Road team vs. a division Opponent and it’s between Week 4 and 8 of a season, they are 6-13 SU in this spot since 1996. The Argos seem to have weathered the QB controversy storm, as Kerry Joseph seems to be settling down calling his own plays and the boatmen seem to be gelling on offense, as they are 28.3 points per game. However, their defense which is normally their strength, has been missing in action this season and own the second worst points against average at 30.8 PA this season. Plus, the Argos don’t play well as a small home favorite since ‘96, because when the Argonauts are a -3.5 point or less home favorite, they are 12-11-1 SU and the UNDER is 16-8-0. In a nutshell, because the Argos are a public favorite most of the time, they tend to get too much respect from the public and the books are smart enough to put a low number in which they make a quick buck.
• Winnipeg’s Next Game: Vs. Montreal
• Toronto Next Game: At Winnipeg
Ron’s forecast: Winnipeg 27 Toronto 17
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When TORONTO team played as Home team as a Favorite -Vs Division Opponent - Allowed score 28 points or more against; The UNDER is 11-2-0 for the Argos in this spot since ’99.
Saskatchewan (54.5) vs. Calgary (-6)
Roughriders @ Stampeders History: Saskatchewan is 10-10-0 ATS, 6-14 SU and the O/U/P is 9-11-0.
The biggest surprise of the CFL season is no doubt the Saskatchewan Roughriders at 5-0 on the season. What’s more impressive, they’ve gone unbeaten using their QB by committee format. Marcus Crandell returns to the starting rotation this week, as Darian Durant suffered some cracked ribs last week vs. Toronto and is out until late August. Plus, they will be without the services of Canadian receiver Andy Fantuz who suffered a broken leg and he will be out 10 weeks. If there was ever a “due factor? for the Saskatchewan Roughriders, Week 6 would be the spot to play against the Green Riders in Calgary. To be honest, the Stampeders might have got caught looking ahead last week in Winnipeg, as they fell 32-28 in the dying seconds. Furthermore, here’s an interesting angle for the UNDER. Whenever a team is facing a CFL team who is 5-0 on the season, they are 2-2 SU and ATS in the next game and the UNDER is a perfect 4-0-0. Calgary has been tough to beat at home, they are 15-5-1 SU and 14-7-0 ATS the last 2 years at McMahon Stadium. Plus, when the Roughriders are a Road team vs. a division Opponent and the total is 54.5 or more; the UNDER is 13-2-0.
• Saskatchewan’s Next Game: Vs. Calgary
• Calgary Next’s Game: At Saskatchewan
Ron’s forecast: Calgary 32 Saskatchewan 17
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When ANY CFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite -Before a division game - Coming off a 1 ATS lost - Coming off a game scored 28 points or less - Coming off a Score 32 - 35 AGAINST in last game; The UNDER is 11-1-0 for the Home Team (Stampeders) in this role since ’96.
Ron Raymond’s Pick on this game: Click here
Good luck and remember, this is the CFL, anything can happen during the 3 minute warning! Trust me; I’ve got the scars to prove it!