I have a masters degree in statistical engineering. I even took one PhD level course on simulations. I have not analyzed the situation to the same degree as this article, so I have to “believe” the author of this article. But off the top of my head, these numbers surprise me. They delight me as a Bomber fan, but they surprise me.
My gut tells me these numbers are wrong, but I have not put sufficient effort into proving they are wrong. I thought Toronto would be the team favoured to win the Grey Cup this year. How can the Over/Under say that Toronto is 10.5 to beat Montreal, and the Over/Under say that Winnipeg is only 4.5 to beat BC yet this article says WPG has a higher chance of getting into the Grey Cup.
This article intrigues me immensely. The next two weekends are “must watch TV”, that’s for sure. Best reality TV in the world.
I wonder what the odds are that the teams with the worst record have won the Cup 50% of the time the past 10 seasons. That three 15 win teams have all lost the GC the past 6 years. That a Bruin team that put up a record season in 2022-23, losing only 4 home games all year were eliminated in a 7 game series in the 1st round.
I find these simulations interesting but they vary often quite dramatically from week to week. Take 1 key guy off the roster & watch the bouncing ball. It’s like the stock market. If Elon Musk has a bad day the stock market has a bad day as happened not that long ago.
Whoa whoa… slow down there IllinoisGuy. Some of us primitives can’t keep up with your tech savvy computer jargon. This next level advice on how to discipline a computer by hitting the side of it had me sifting through my old copies of Mechanics Illustrated for more info. What a can of worms you’ve opened here. I have so many questions to ask.
So how exactly do I strike the side of my mainframe without disrupting the reel to reel tape readout? Which punch cards will I need to re-punch? And when the heck is somebody going to show me which telegraph office the TV Repair Shop moved to?