CFL Simulation: Bombers rise above parity as favourites

TORONTO — In a season where at some point almost every team in the league has looked like a contender for the 111th Grey Cup, it shouldn’t be a surprise that three of the four remaining teams have very similar odds of winning it all.


This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://www.cfl.ca/2024/11/04/cfl-simulation-bombers-rise-above-parity-as-favourites

It is interesting that the simulation gives the Bombers such an edge while the CFL’s head-to-head matchup gives the Riders a 7 to 3 edge in the various categories. Should be a great WF.

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Looks like the wind helps Winnipeg while all other teams were resting players in the last season game!

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Some poor (or no) proofreading.

If Winnipeg has a 79.23% chance of reaching the Grey Cup and Saskatchewan has a 13.13% chance for a total of 92.36%, does that mean BC still has the remaining 100 - 92.36 = 7.64% chance?

I guess the Saskatchewan “chance” should be 20.77% instead. Of course, the entire “simulation” is pure fantasy

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Experience counts. Bombers have that too.
Would love to see the Green team pull of an end of the season playoff run but gotta also look at the odds here too.
I picked the Riders in the pool here but if I was still in the actual running would have taken the Bombers

Maybe it’s predicting an unbreakable tie in the WF.

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or predicting the chance of the Grey Cup being cancelled due to natural disaster.

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Football predictions are and always will be for fun, nothing more. Game is played on the field and every one of these teams could win. I’m surprised the Blue Bombers have been favorites, as a fan of the Big Blue, would rather they not be favorites. Usually, I will always cheer for the so called underdogs but not when Winnipeg is favored. Go Blue

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I will later (closer to Gameday) give you 5 reasons the Riders will win this away game final vs. only 1 or 2 reasons the Bombers may be able to eke out a last minute or OT win.

Much of it has to do with Oullette nullifying Olivera’s effectiveness at rushing the ball.

Also, in windy and cold weather - a precision passer with sharp deliveries (Harris) might be more serviceable than the mercurial and now unpredictable Z Collaros