CFL Simulation: Bombers in familiar territory

[system]

TORONTO — Cold teams? Trending down? What do you mean?

Written off at different points in the season, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and the Saskatchewan Roughriders are favourites of the CFL Simulation this week.

---

This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://www.cfl.ca/?p=2259570

[Pirround]

@system

In 100,000 computer simulations, a pair of East Division opponents met in the 111th Grey Cup 58 times (for perspective, this is a 0.00058 per cent chance of happening). Here’s what that would look like, compiling information from this season through Week 17:

• Hamilton vs. Montreal (occurred in 33 simulations)
• Hamilton vs. Toronto (eight times)
• Toronto vs. Montreal (eight times)
• Hamilton vs. Ottawa (three times)
• Ottawa vs. Montreal (three times)
• Ottawa vs. Toronto (three times)

OK, but 58 out of 100,000 is 0.058 percent, not 0.00058 percent. You don’t say how you come up with the probabilities for your simulations, I guess I have to trust you. It would help me to trust you if you could at least get the basic arithmetic correct.

[Maaax]

Hey if the math says Winnipeg’s gonna win the Cup I’m not gonna argue. Who am I to disagree?