Beating Calgary last weekend would prolly have guaranteed a western playoff for the bombers and seriously contend for 2nd in west. Now, nothing is totally clear. Only clarity is bombers will finish at 1 of 3 different positions:
A. 2nd in West - dogfight with BC but they'd have to win 4 of their last 5 to have at least a 70% chance of doing so. Because they're incapable of playing full 60 minute games I agree!
B. 3rd in West - most likely scenario, 80% chance if they knock off the Esks this weekend but can't win enough of their other games.
C. 4th in West - not foreseeable today but if they get licked by Esks this wknd they're 50/50 to assume crossover. Lots of Winnipeg fans (including me) think that's the best route to the Grey Cup - playing mope teams who are slightly over or slightly under .500
But it would also mean the Bombers had a record of 1-4 or 2-3 in their last 5 matches. So they'd be going in as slight underdogs even with better record than the 2nd in east team. Losing attitude would infest the organization and make winning a crossover in November very difficult.
Finally, they probably have to win at least one of their remaining 5 games to certify a crossover. Who knows what kind of lineup Calgary will field when playing eastern teams down the stretch with 1st place in tow - they don't need many more wins, just avoid injuries to Mitchell, etc.