2024-25 NFL Regular Season Pool- Rules and Week 1 Picks

Sorry for the slight delay, but here is the initial post for this year’s pool.

This is the 3rd year of the pool. It was won by @Hometown_Fan in year 1 and @usc4dav last year. The prize is the coveted Amazing Kreskin Award shown below.

Last year’s final standings are linked below:

https://forums.cfl.ca/t/2023-24-nfl-pool-regular-season-final-standings-and-week-18-results/90280?u=jon

I won’t retype all the details of the rules as I did so last year and that is linked below so give them a quick look. The rules are essentially the same as the CFL Pool rules. Make your picks in time each week. Scoring is the same in that it goes wins, perfect weeks and then aggregate. Perfect weeks are gold. No one has ever had more than 2 in a year.

That is largely because there are 6 games a week to pick from. We started with 4 but with feedback and based on trial and error settled on 6. Picking all games are too onerous for many and the goal is to keep it simple. There are also too many non competetive games per week. This plagued the CFL pool for many years until this year when the league became very competetive from top to bottom for the most part. At least in this pool we have some control over the match ups. The number of perfect weeks will tell you how difficult the pool is and they are down by about half in the CFL Pool this year, but should still exceed the number of perfect weeks in this pool.

I will be posting the Week 1 games in a separate post right after this one and for odd weeks @mahalcflers is back and will be choosing the games in even weeks. The goal is to pick expected competetive games as much as possible, with the odd low hanging fruit thrown in. Every team will be picked at least once during the season although expected duds like Carolina might only be picked once. The picks aren’t based on popularity or necessarily on being a good team, which may have lots of one sided games on the schedule. As always there will likely be a couple of tough picks per week between less than stellar teams. We do try to include all marquee games such as Dallas/SF, Buffalo/Miami, KC/Baltimore for example, as long as they are expected to be competetive.

As you probably know, the NFL schedule contains Thursday games, Monday games and Saturday games late in the season, in addition to the customary Sunday games. We tend to shy away from Thursday games as they come early in the week, but really that is no different than the CFL up to Labour Day. Be warned that both a Thursday and one off Friday game is on next week’s slate because they are among the best games. Historically however we usually pass on most Thursday games, excluding Thanksgiving. Some Monday games are chosen but historically a lot of those games are pretty crappy, so not too often. We will try and post each week’s slate on Sunday, even if the previous week isn’t completed. My recommendation is that you make your picks on the Tuesday or Wednesday of each week to not possibly miss picking a Thursday game, but if there is no Thursday game you will have until Saturday of each week or even Sunday morning.

https://forums.cfl.ca/t/2023-nfl-regular-season-pool-rules-and-week-1-picks/87988?u=jon

Aside from the assistance of my pool co founder @mahalcflers, as @GridironGirl has retired from her stats work, @BomberJunkie has put some significant time into developing an automated stats system for this pool similar to the one he put together for the CFL Pool. He just completed it but it needs to be tested over the next week or two. I understand that this pool is a little more difficult to automate but that type of technical knowledge is well above my pay grade. I am sure it will be perfected shortly. I can’t thank @BomberJunkie enough for his hard work and invaluable assistance. Calculating stats manually is difficult and time consuming and increases the chance of human error as I am sure @Abendschan can attest to.

As always every member of the forum is invited to participate. Tomorrow I will ping some members that have already not been pinged or posted their first picks.

Good luck to all!

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The Week 1 slate ripe for the picking is as follows:

Thursday September 5th

Baltimore at Kansas City 7:20

Friday September 6th

Green Bay at Philadelphia 7:15
(In São Paulo, Brazil)

Sunday September 8th

Minnesota at NY Giants Noon
Jacksonville at Miami Noon

Dallas at Cleveland 3:25

Monday September 9th

NY Jets at San Francisco 7:20

All times are Central.

The odds from a few days ago as posted by CBS are below. I am listing only the favourite and the spread. The odds may have changed slightly but are in the ball park:

Kansas City -3
Philly -2.5
Minnesota -1
Miami -3.5
Cleveland -2
San Fran -4

Good luck to everyone!

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Kansas City
Green Bay
NY Giants
Miami
San Francisco
Dallas

Thanks

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:ravens:
:packers:
:giants:
:jags:
:cowboys:
:49ers:

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:ravens: Detroit won in this same spot last year. I think the ravens just play bully ball and get an early season win. (Playoffs I take KC all day)

:packers: I didn’t realize this was in Brazil. Who thought that was a good idea week one? I’ll go packers based off of how the season ended last year. But Philly could also turn it around.

:giants: As a New York Football Giants fan, :face_vomiting:
I will go based off of favouritism, although I think Sam Darnold is probably the better QB here

:dolphins: it ain’t -4 degrees out side week one.

:browns: their defence at home was elite last year. I don’t think CeeDee sitting in all offseason helps out Dallas at all.

:jets: this should be San Fran, but I will take the Jets shocking the world (also could see some regression in San Fran)

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:chiefs:
:eagles:
:giants:
:dolphins:
:browns:
:49ers:

Thanks!

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Baltimore :ravens:
Green Bay :packers:
NYG :giants:
Miami :dolphins:
Cleveland :browns:
San Fran :49ers:
:beers:

Good luck to all and enjoy the season .

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Chiefs
Philadelphia
Miami
NY Giants
Cleveland
San Francisco

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As I usually do I am inviting those of you who haven’t picked yet or been pinged yet into the NFL Pool. I will invite those that have participated in the most recent NFL or CFL pool and others I can think of that may be interested, but every forum member is welcome. If you are interested make sure you pick before the first game selected which is this Thursday evening. If you are not interested there is no need to reply and thanks for your time.

If you are unfamiliar with the rules they can be found at the link below which is also the top of this thread.

https://forums.cfl.ca/t/2024-25-nfl-regular-season-pool-rules-and-week-1-picks/93893?u=jon

@prairiewolf77 @KingCrimson769 @tony @Tedtanium1976 @Crash @Stickweld21 @AYC2112 @PorkyPine @Paolo_X @Paul_ste_marie @Mightygoose @Maaax @IllinoisGuy @Squishy21 @GridironGirl @T44 @Softsac @TR904 @Cflukb69 @On-the-Boulevard @pantsonfire @Krisiun @Arnie @Dibs @disciplineandpunish @WeGotTheCup @LetsGoBlue @Pirround @pbatty @FootbalYouBet @LeStaf @RichardVeilleux @rider01.1 @MackDavid @Golflegend @papazoola @Cobtopher @SaskWatch @JoeyT @Lucas_Bellemare @aulcee @Lyle_B_Style @Schweinhund @rcon1 @narles @MtnCat @Eskimos4Ever @Esky @dutch31 @306Jordan @GrumpyGord @VolcanoMan @ABC @mikem @Alsnation @Bomber @Rumble_Blue @tabbiefan

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Thanks @Jon, I don’t watch NFL. I will decline… NHL I’ll jump on board.

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:chiefs: because I think they’re better
:packers: because screw the Packers!
:vikings:
:dolphins:
:cowboys:
:jets: because screw Aaron Rodgers!
Thanks!
:saluting_face:

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Baltimore
Philadelphia
Minnesota
Miami
Dallas
San Francisco

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Hi Jon thanks for the invite back.

Kansas City

Philadelphia

Ny Giants

Jaguars

Browns

49ers

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:chiefs:
:packers:
:vikings:
:dolphins:
:cowboys:
:49ers:

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:chiefs:
:eagles:
:giants:
:dolphins:
:browns:
:49ers:

As long as Aaron Rogers trips over a yard stripe and gets carried off the field like last season all will be right with the NFL universe. Thanks Jon! :partying_face: :boom: :beers: :beaver:

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thanks jon. I be waiting a bit for the latest injury and other info.

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Thank you for advising. Now I know not to include you on those kindly and timely notifications about not making late picks in this pool, or else, you know, you could also be a no-good galoot!

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Yes I agree, except I think he should also be punched hard in the face on his way off!

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:chiefs: Hard to go against Champs
:eagles: New season - hopefully new chapter.
:giants: Toss up
:dolphins: September.
:cowboys: New season.
:49ers: Good team.

Enjoy the new season that is almost upon us.

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