Ottawa Redblacks
This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://www.cfl.ca/games/6284/ottawa-redblacks-vs-hamilton-tiger-cats/
Ottawa Redblacks
Both teams battling for their playoff lives. Both teams have looked better of late.
Can the Dyce's Redblacks keep their long-shot playoff hopes alive one more week?
Ottawa needs to win both games, and they also need Saskatchewan to lose to Calgary twice, to make the playoffs.
Hamilton needs to beat Ottawa once, and either beat them a second time or hope Calgary beats Saskatchewan once.
It could all be settled this week!
Apparently, Acklin was back practicing today.
Player Name | Position | Injury | MON | TUE | WED | Game Status |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RJ Harris | WR | Healthy Scratch | Full | |||
William Powell | RB | Shoulder | DNP | |||
DeVonte Dedmon | WR | Quadricep | DNP | |||
Patrick Levels | DB | Ankle | DNP | |||
Jaelon Acklin | WR | Head/shoulder | Full | |||
Praise Martin-Oguike | DL | Ankle | DNP | |||
Dino Boyd | OL | Shoulder | Full | |||
Nigel Romick | DL | Head | Limited | |||
Tevaun Smith | WR | Ribs | DNP |
OTTAWA REDBLACKS
Ottawa REDBLACKS quarterback Caleb Evans has had four games this season where he has rushed for multiple rushing touchdowns and has scored in nine of his 16 games played (The Canadian Press).
– With his 13 rushing touchdowns, Ottawa REDBLACKS quarterback Caleb Evans currently stands tied for second in single-season rushing scores in Ottawa football history, behind only Ron Stewart who has 15 in 1960 and is tied with both Art Green and Alvin Walker (OttawaREDBLACKS.com).
– The REDBLACKS have had a numerous players create electrifying moments all season long. With CFL All-Star voting in full swing, see which Ottawa players are eligible for CFL All-Star honours (OttawaREDBLACKS.com).
HAMILTON TIGER-CATS
– Following their thrilling 35-32 Week 19 win, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats has two players named as the CFL Top Performers of the week as receiver Tim White and defensive back Richard Leonard were each named (CFL.ca).
– Ahead of their final home game of the regular season Hamilton defensive lineman Julian Howsare describes how special the Ticats fans are and the atmosphere they are able to create (Ticats.ca).
– Entering Week 20 the Ticats can secure a spot in the post-season, see how in the latest edition of the CFL Playoff Scenarios (CFL.ca).
Game notes pdf:
CFL Notes for Week #20 ‐ Looking at Last Week & 2022 Trends:
Playoff Implications 1:
This week holds 4 games with direct playoff potential, the first being that a Hamilton win would eliminate Ottawa and reduce the Ti-Cats' magic # for clinching to just one. However, an Ottawa win sets up a playoff stakes rematch next week with Hamilton - but only if the Riders do not win over Calgary.
High Octane Wk #19:
The 4 games created as much offence, scoring and close finishes as any week for the last several years:
Defensive TDs = Wins:
Last week there were 4 Def. Return TDs, 2 by BC and 1 each by Montréal and Hamilton. In 2022 there have been 28 Interception/Fumble return scores split as follows:
By winning teams: 26 By losing teams: 2
How Good Have CFL Passers Been of Late?:
Since Week #11 CFL QBs have been in high gear. Here are some numbers:
CFL-wide Passing GP Effic TDI Atts Com % Yards Int TD
To Week #11 43 92.7 1.24 2,790 1,882 67.5 23,123 91 113
Wks #12 to #19 30 97.9 1.65 1,860 1,260 67.5 16,022 52 86
Context: the 97.9 passer rating would be #2 all-time, the 1.65 to 1 TD to INT Ratio #3 best in CFL history
25% Increase in Offensive Production:
In 2021 there were 227 TD drives in 63 games, 3.6 per game. In 2022, 329 TD drives
in 73 games or 4.5 TDs per game. That represents a 25.2% increase in offensive production.
Allowing a Sack?:
In 2022 clubs have allowed a Sack on 326 of 1,953 possessions. When a Sack is NOT allowed the TD drive % is 19% or 1 in 5. Only 10 times in 326 drives where a Sack IS allowed, have teams scored - 3% of the time, 1 in 33.
Playoff Implications 2:
Toronto and Montréal start a back-to-back set to determine 1st place, Calgary will try retain their chances for 2nd place against a Riders team needing a win to stay eligible for cross-over, and BC will try to lock down 2nd at Edmonton.
Team Notes ‐ Gm #83 Ottawa at Hamilton:
**5 Seasons in a Row Hamilton+: **
Since 2017, Hamilton's record in the 2nd half of the season has been equal or better than in their first 9 games jumping from .415 to .615. Here is the split - Games #1-9: 19-26 .422 Games #10-18: 24-15 .615
Defensive Penalties Matter Most:
The Ti-Cats have the fewest defensive penalties with 40. The proof about the impact of Defensive calls: Opp't TD Drive % without a Def. Penalty: 12% Opp't TD Drive % WITH a Def. Penalty: 38% For comparison - Def. Pass Interference Calls: MTL 18 OTT 11 HAM 6
REDBLACKS +4 Road vs Home:
Their 4-4 road record has them with 4 more wins away than at home in 2022. That has happened only ONCE before in all of Ottawa history to 1907 - in 2016 when they were 6-3 away vs a 2-6-1 home record.
OTT Completion %:
First 13 Games: 64.6% Last 3 Games: 80.0% (84-of-105)
**Wins in 4 of last 5: **
Ottawa has won 4 of their last 5 away from home - their best run since winning 5 of 6 road games in 2016.
Hamilton Pass Protection:
The Tiger-Cats started slowly giving up 18 Sacks in their first 5 games. They are #2 in the CFL since then allowing only 13 in 11 games (1.2 per game) (just 3 in their last 4 games).
**Lorenzo Mauldin 15 QS: **
Has had his league-leading Sacks total increased to 15 following a stats review from last week. He has 7 in the last 6 games. The last Ottawa player to lead the CFL in Sacks was Angelo Snipes in 1992 with 20.
Steinauer & Evans:
Both Orlondo Steinauer at 5-0 and Dane Evans at 3-0 are unbeaten vs Ottawa.
Steven Dunbar 1k:
Needs 77 yards to reach 1,000 and make it two players for the Ti-Cats over 1k this year. Looking at 18-game seasons only (excl. 2021) they can stretch that 1,000-yard receivers streak of at least TWO to 6 seasons (2015-2019).
Wes Hills Impact:
The Ti-Cats are 3-2 in his 5 starts and have averaged 97 rushing yards. In the 11 games when he did not start they were 3-8 with 79 rush yards per game. Hills has 303 rushing yards in his last 4 games.
Jovan Santos-Knox: Reached the 100-tackles mark last week for the first time in his career. The last Hamilton player to have 100+ tackles in a season was Larry Dean in 2018 (105). The Hamilton record is held by Zeke Moreno at 114 (2007).
Ottawa's Offence:
In the 3 games before Bob Dyce took over as Head coach, the REDBLACKS struggled on offence. They scored on just 3 of 41 drives for a 7% success rate. In the last 2 games they have 5 offensive TDs on 26 possessions, a 19% rate.
Caleb Evans 13 TD:
Evans needs one TD to tie the CFL record for most by a QB. James Franklin had 14 in 2018 and Doug Flutie 14 for BC in 1991.
Nick Arbuckle:
Making career start #22 and is 9-12 overall (1-2 vs HAM). He has a current streak of 80 attempts without an interception and been sacked just 4 times in the last 3 games. Over his last 3 games he has completed 79.8% of his passes.
**5 in a Row but a close one in 2022: **
The Tiger-Cats have won the last 5 games over Ottawa with 4 of the 5 by margins of 14+ points. However, the first meeting of 2022 had Hamilton win 25-23 on an Evans to Tim White TD pass with 0:19 left followed by a Lewis Ward miss from 54 yards out. Hamilton overcame 5 Turnovers to win over the REDBLACKS.
**Hamilton Leads After Q1: **
The Ti-Cats have led after the 1st Quarter 4 times in 2022 - and have lost all 4 games.
Hamilton resurgence:
The Ti-Cats have won 3 of their last 4 games despite not leading after the 1st Quarter in any of them. Their home results have been key winning 5 of the last 6 at Tim Hortons Field.
Ottawa Last Week:
The REDBLACKS got off to their best start in 2022 with 24 first half points vs Montréal and held an 11-point lead at 21-10. The Als outscored them 24-9 the rest of the way to clinch a playoff spot.
Bold Prediction:
Ottawa Redblacks sweep the Hamilton Tiger Cats, and rough riders split wins against Calgary to make the playoffs.
Should be fun:
Sticking with Ottawa tonight, just for the hell of it. They're going to miss a few of those hurt bodies, though. Here's to a good game.
pulling for the cats just so i can hear more misery from riders fans.
Avery Williams could get a suspension for that helmet hit after the whistle.
yea that was uncalled for
love the retro cats jerseys and helmets